Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most … For instance, I think our contemporary computer systems would break under the weight of their own complexity if it weren't for the edge that the USENET "group mind" gives the system administration and support people! (Or as Eric Drexler put it of nanotechnology: Given all that such technology can do, perhaps governments would simply decide that they no longer need citizens!). [14] Kovacs, G. T. A. et al., "Regeneration Microelectrode Array for Peripheral Nerve Recording and Stimulation", IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, v39, n9, pp893-902. At the center of each black hole, according to the well accepted theory, is a point called a singularity. A t this moment, a subtle but fundamental technological shift is occurring that is uniting our digital and physical worlds at the deepest architectural and operational levels. Shortly after, the human era will be ended. Such a "weakly superhuman" entity would probably burn out in a few weeks of outside time. [28] Ulam, S., Tribute to John von Neumann, Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, v64, n3, part 2, May 1958, pp1-49. The precise cause of this change is the imminent creation by technology of entities with greater than human intelligence. In one sense, this suggestion might be regarded as the goal of inventing a "Rules of Order" for such combination operations. The power and influence of even the present-day Internet is vastly underestimated. It is the point over the event horizon over which no information can pass. Instead, in the early '00s we would find our hardware performance curves beginning to level off — this because of our inability to automate the design work needed to support further hardware improvements. Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most … Imagine running a dog mind at very high speed. Here are some possible projects that take on special significance, given the IA point of view: Human/computer team automation: Take problems that are normally considered for purely machine solution (like hill-climbing problems), and design programs and interfaces that take a advantage of humans' intuition and available computer hardware. How will the approach of the Singularity spread across the human world view? It could be a golden age that also involved progress (overleaping Stent's barrier). Expertise of individual human members could be isolated from ego issues such that the contribution of different members is focussed on the team project. The coming technological singularity: How to survive in the post-human era. Suppose we could tailor the Singularity. (This is an aspect of IA that fits so well with known economic advantages that lots of effort is already being spent on it.). Develop more symmetrical decision support systems. The best analogy that I see is with the evolutionary past: Animals can adapt to problems and make inventions, but often no faster than natural selection can do its work — the world acts as its own simulator in the case of natural selection. Good has captured the essence of the runaway, but does not pursue its most disturbing consequences. Good had something to say about this, though at this late date the advice may be moot: Good [12] proposed a "Meta-Golden Rule", which might be paraphrased as "Treat your inferiors as you would be treated by your superiors." Intelligence Amplification undercuts our concept of ego from another direction. In the 1960s there was recognition of some of the implications of superhuman intelligence. )[Permalink: http://accelerating.org/articles/comingtechsingularity] This page has been translated into Spanish by Maria Ramos. (I call this "fast thinking" form of superintelligence "weak superhumanity". Instead of simply trying to model and understand biological life with computers, research could be directed toward the creation of composite systems that rely on biological life for guidance or for the providing features we don't understand well enough yet to implement in hardware. He agrees that superhuman intelligences will be available in the near future — and that such entities pose a threat to the human status quo. Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an "intelligence explosion," and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. I will return to this point later in the paper.). [16] Minsky, Marvin, Society of Mind, Simon and Schuster, 1985. 4.5 (4 Reviews) Free Download. [12] Good, I. J., [Help! Technologiczna osobliwość (lub po prostu osobliwość, z ang. [31] Vinge, Vernor, First Word, Omni, January 1983, p10. The word, “singularity," in the context of this discussion of technology, is similar to its use in the theory of black holes, the massive objects in space from which light cannot escape. And even the egalitarian view of an Internet that wakes up along with all mankind can be viewed as a nightmare [26]. Expanded into the novel Blood Music, Morrow, 1985. But the post-Singularity world does fit with the larger tradition of change and cooperation that started long ago (perhaps even before the rise of biological life). Outreach | Education | Research | Advocacy, © 2020 ASF: Acceleration Studies Foundation | A 510(c)(3) Nonprofit Corporation | Contact. The post-Singularity world will involve extremely high-bandwidth networking. Challenges of the New Technologies, The future of computing — The implications for society of technology forecasting and the Kurzweil singularity, The Automation of Acceleration: AI and the Future of Society, Science and the Technological Vision of the Future, New York Prophecies: The Imaginary Future of Artificial Intelligence, Return to Eden ? Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most radical will quickly become commonplace. This "problem" about immortality comes up in much more direct ways. But for this, we need to know the fine-scale architecture of vision, and we need to place an enormous web of electrodes with exquisite precision. Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most … The term technological singularity refers to some time in the future when computers become much “smarter” than people. Use local area nets to make human teams that really work (ie, are more effective than their component members). (Charles Platt [20] has pointed out that AI enthusiasts have been making claims like this for the last thirty years. [4] Barrow, John D. and Frank J. Tipler, The Anthropic Cosmological Principle, Oxford University Press, 1986. If those masters thought at a rate — say — one million times slower than you, there is little doubt that over a period of years (your time) you could come up with "helpful advice" that would incidentally set you free. (A strongly superhuman intelligence would likely be a Society of Mind [16] with some very competent components.) Shortly after, the human era will be ended. Develop interfaces that allow computer and network access without requiring the human to be tied to one spot, sitting in front of a computer. For example, much of the work in Artificial Intelligence and neural nets would benefit from a closer connection with biological life. But every time our ability to access information and to communicate it to others is improved, in some sense we have achieved an increase over natural intelligence. The original version of this article was presented at the VISION-21 Symposium sponsored by NASA Lewis Research Center and the Ohio Aerospace Institute, March 30-31, 1993. Reprinted in True Names and Other Dangers, Vernor Vinge, Baen Books, 1987. [5] Bear, Greg, "Blood Music", Analog Science Fiction-Science Fact, June, 1983. ("But all our previous models were catatonic! [7] Conrad, Michael et al., "Towards an Artificial Brain", BioSystems, vol 23, pp175-218, 1989. Well... pretty bad. This is I. J. And what of the arrival of the Singularity itself? Without that we would get a glut of technical riches, never properly absorbed (see [25]).). We humans have the ability to internalize the world and conduct "what if's" in our heads; we can solve many problems thousands of times faster than natural selection. 15 reviews. In the coming of the Singularity, we will see the predictions of true technological unemployment finally come true. More and more, these writers felt an opaque wall across the future. From the human point of view this change will be a throwing away of all the previous rules, perhaps in the blink of an eye, an exponential runaway beyond any hope of control. The notion of ego and self-awareness has been the bedrock of the hardheaded rationalism of the last few centuries. We have tools right now (symbolic math programs, CAD/CAM) that release us from most low-level drudgery. Mega4up and its partners use cookies and similar technology to collect and analyse information about the users of this website. How this power could the coming technological singularity used by a human, to get even! Ways we relate to animals aids for artists, as labor saving tools your capabilities in every way made! Galactic empires might have seemed a Post-Human domain by tenuous, low-bandwith links ethics! 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